Housing Starts Jump – Single Family Homes Slide

Bucking the national trend housing starts ballooned by 424 percent in Abbotsford-Mission in February compared to February of 2013 as a result of 94 units started in Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) under the ‘All Others’ category which includes commercial, industrial and institutional buildings.

The house construction industry is still asleep in the CMA where a total of only 16 single detached homes were begun in February down from 18 last year.

Western Canadian centers saw a wild swing of increases and decreases with Edmonton and Victoria posting huge increases, also due to the ‘All Other’ category while all Western Canadian cities posted declines in the construction of single detached homes.

Vancouver -11%
Victoria +162%
Kelowna +7%
Edmonton + 147%
Calgary -38%
Saskatoon -59%
Regina -32%
Winnipeg -3%%

Economic development was a key plank in the platform of both Mayor-Elect Henry Braun and the four new councilors from AbbotsfordFIRST.

Housing starts are one of the biggest drivers of economic activity in the economy.

View the CMHC tables here.

On a national scale, The Globe and Mail reported Monday, ” Housing starts plummeted in February to the lowest level since 2009, driven by fewer new condo and multi-residential projects as builders grappled with rising levels of unsold inventory.

“Construction of new housing units fell 16 per cent in February to an annualized 156,276, down from 187,025 in January, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation said Monday.”

The National Picture

The trend measure of housing starts in Canada was 182,137 units in February compared to 188,761 in January, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The trend is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR)1 of housing starts.

“The trend in housing starts decreased for a fifth consecutive month in February and reflects a decreasing trend in multiple starts,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre. “The declining trend in multiple starts is helping to gradually erode the inventory of completed and unsold units, which is high compared to historical levels.”

CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and obtain a more complete picture of the state of Canada’s housing market. In some situations analyzing only SAAR data can be misleading, as they are largely driven by the multi-unit segment of the market which can vary significantly from one month to the next.

The standalone monthly SAAR was 156,276 units in February, down from 187,025 units in January. The SAAR of urban starts decreased to 140,722 in February, from 171,950 in January. The decrease in February reflects broad based declines in eight of the ten provinces. The decrease was led by multiple urban starts, which reached 86,214 units in February down from 115,123 in January. Single-detached urban starts decreased to 54,508 units in February from 56,827 the previous month.

Rural starts2 were estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15,554 units.

Preliminary Housing Starts data is also available in English and French at the following link:Preliminary Housing Starts Tables

As Canada’s authority on housing, CMHC contributes to the stability of the housing market and financial system, provides support for Canadians in housing need, and offers objective housing research and information to Canadian governments, consumers and the housing industry.

1 All starts figures in this release, other than actual starts and the trend estimate, are seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) — that is, monthly figures adjusted to remove normal seasonal variation and multiplied by 12 to reflect annual levels. By removing seasonal ups and downs, seasonal adjustment allows for a comparison from one season to the next and from one month to the next. Reporting monthly figures at annual rates indicates the annual level of starts that would be obtained if the monthly pace was maintained for 12 months. This facilitates comparison of the current pace of activity to annual forecasts as well as to historical annual levels.

2 CMHC estimates the level of starts in centres with a population of less than 10,000 for each of the three months of the quarter, at the beginning of each quarter. During the last month of the quarter, CMHC conducts the survey in these centres and revises the estimate.

Information on this release:

Karine LeBlanc
CMHC Media Relations

Follow CMHC on Twitter @CMHC_ca

Additional data is available upon request.

Preliminary Housing Start Data
February 2015
January 2015 February 2015
Trend1, all areas 188,761 182,137
SAAR, all areas 187,025 156,276
SAAR, rural areas 15,075 15,554
SAAR, urban centres2
Single-detached 56,827 54,508
Multiples 115,123 86,214
Total 171,950 140,722
Atlantic, urban centres2 8,341 2,491
Quebec, urban centres2 26,498 23,815
Ontario, urban centres2 58,785 42,617
Prairies, urban centres2 53,261 49,526
British Columbia, urban centres2 25,065 22,273
Canada February 2014 February 2015
Actual, all areas 11,655   9,776
Actual, rural areas 618 617
Actual, urban centres2
February – Single-detached 3,248 3,048
February – Multiples 7,789 6,111
February – Total 11,037 9,159
January to February – Single-detached 6,571 6,167
January to February – Multiples 15,455 14,614
January to February – Total 22,026 20,781

Source: CMHC
1 The trend is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR).
2 Urban centres with a population of 10,000 and over.
Detailed data available upon request.

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