The Tyee has put together its early predictions for next month’s provincial election identifying where they think things stand going into the race. The Tyee made sure to acknowledge things will change in a number of ridings as a result of the campaigns now under way.
We have published the Tyee’s predictions of the Fraser Valley ridings. For a complete list simply click here.
NDP – 56
Liberals – 18
Independents – 1
Too Close to call – 10
Abbotsford-Mission – BC Liberal
This is long-time Liberal territory and the party has a strong new candidate in veteran city councillor Simon Gibson.
Abbotsford-West – BC Liberal
Incumbent Mike de Jong is likely to hold this seat for another term.
Abbotsford South – Too close to call
This is one of The Tyee’s Hot Ridings to watch, with incumbent MLA John van Dongen’s candidacy as an independent making this a tight three-way race.
Chilliwack – NDP
This is one of The Tyee’s Hot Ridings to watch. The BC Liberal MLA is retiring, and his party’s replacement, John Martin, may have left too toxic a trail of statements in the past.
Chilliwack Hope – Too close to call
The NDP took this riding from the Liberals in a 2011 byelection, possibly because of a vote split. This election, it’s anyone’s guess.
Langley – BC Liberal
This is one of The Tyee’s Hot Ridings to watch, since the Conservative’s John Cummins will make this a three-way race. However, it’s likely that popular Liberal incumbent Mary Polak will hang on to her seat.
Fort Langley Aldergrove – BC Liberal
In this riding, long-time MLA Rich Coleman is the Minister of Votes. The only question is, by how much will he win this time?
Maple Ridge-Mission – NDP
Liberal MLA Marc Dalton only beat the NDP by a hair in 2009. He faces the same opposition candidate this year, but this time the NDP has an advantage.
Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows – NDP
This riding went to the NDP in a close race last election, but despite running a new candidate the party should be able to hold it this year.
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